Spain seat simulator: allocate the Congress's 350 seats

Move each party's vote share and see how the Congress changes, with the real D'Hondt rule in all 52 constituencies.

Poll average

Weighted average of private polls (reference 16 October): PP 31.9 %, PSOE 26.5 %, Vox 18.9 %, Sumar/FA 6.3 %, Podemos 2.9 %, ERC 2.2 %, SALF 1.6 %, Junts 1.5 %, Bildu 1.4 %, PNV 0.9 %, BNG 0.9 %.

Seat projection today

Median of 1,500 D'Hondt allocations, province by province, on the poll average: PP 137, PSOE 107, Vox 66, Sumar/FA 8, ERC 8, Bildu 7, Junts 6, PNV 5, Podemos 2, BNG 2, CC 1, UPN 1. Majority: 176. PP+Vox: 203 seats.

Scenario probabilities: PP + Vox 96 % · 2023 bloc 2 % · Deadlock and repeat election 2 % · PP minority government 0 %.